First Prediction: 500 days before the election.
Here it is just four days before
the enigmatically -implemented first Dem candidates’ debate in Miami. I’ll bet
you can hardly wait to hear all 23 of them struggling for airtime. Oops, it’s
just 20 of our favs over 2 nights.[1]
Finally, something (hopefully) real-ish will be happening election-wise. It’s
round #1 of 81? After all, the election is practically right upon us. In this
spirit, I’ve scurried way out on a thin bended limb of the
electoral tree (a relative of the college) to offer my inaugural 2020
presidential election prediction. I’ll be updating my predictions periodically
over the next 500 days.
My prediction today is that
dystopia will continue after Nov. 3, 2020 when #45 was re-elected for another
term. This ghastly result again demonstrates the alarming power of incumbency.
How could this happen?
Trump was enthusiastically
supported by the same solid slice of core voters – principally less-educated, less
urban, more white, more religious, more conservative “working middle-class” men
and women – with all too few defections from their MAGA voting in 2016. This
unyielding core, who voted to KAG (Keep America Great), was preserved despite the
Dems’ considerable efforts to peal some away from #45 and actually vote for
their own economic self-interests with a Dem in the White House. It didn’t
happen.
The Dems’ 2020 progressive ticket
ultimately was determined behind a closed door session at their July 13-16
convention in Milwaukee. The initial voting rounds were deadlocked, and
described as a nasty cat-and-dog fight between competing species of Dem progressives
unwilling to negotiate. The expected complete transparency was suddenly clouded,
to the dismay of many. Rumors were that the winning presidential nominee, Tulsi
Gabbard (D-HI), promised to faithfully become a modern-day FDR by adhering to an
updated, democratic socialist agenda he would have favored. “Franklin Delano
Roosevelt is my spirit totem,” Ms. Gabbard proclaimed in victory. She benefited
from being both the first Samoan-American and the first Hindu member of the US
Congress.
Unfortunately, as in the previous
national election, neither Ms. Gabbard nor Andrew Yang (her VP candidate) could
stitch together strongly enough their broad, multi-faceted quilt of adherents
to actually vote sufficiently in all 50 states and produce an Electoral College
victory. The Repubs’ brazen voter-suppression efforts certainly didn’t help.
The Trump/Pence machine’s unsubstantiated characterization of the Dems’
policies as costly “extreme socialism” convinced enough anti-Trump voters in
key precincts to cast their ballots for the Green Party ticket of Pete Buttigieg/Marianne Williamson.
After election-day there were no
rainbows in Honolulu or any other blue locale; instead bleakness reigns. I need
my support alligator,
where could she have gone? The Dems also did not end up winning control the Senate
and their plurality in the House was reduced to 29 from 37. The Repubs’ hard
hats carried the day over the Dems’ mortarboards. L
[1]
These 20 Dem debate participants also do not
include the other 141 minor Dem
candidates running for president. Yup, that proverbial galaxy of folks has
each duly filed their candidacy with the Federal Election Commission.
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